TRI Pointe Valuation

TPH Stock  USD 33.69  0.12  0.36%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. TRI Pointe Homes has a current Real Value of $35.81 per share. The regular price of the company is $33.69. Our model measures the value of TRI Pointe Homes from examining the company fundamentals such as shares outstanding of 85.95 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0946 as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting TRI Pointe's valuation include:
Price Book
0.878
Enterprise Value
3.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.026
Price Sales
0.783
Forward PE
14.0845
Undervalued
Today
33.69
Please note that TRI Pointe's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of TRI Pointe Homes is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing TRI Pointe's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since TRI Pointe is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of TRI Stock. However, TRI Pointe's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  33.69 Real  35.81 Target  38.2 Hype  33.65 Naive  30.78
The intrinsic value of TRI Pointe's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence TRI Pointe's stock price.
35.81
Real Value
37.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of TRI Pointe Homes helps investors to forecast how TRI stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of TRI Pointe more accurately as focusing exclusively on TRI Pointe's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.480.570.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4933.6535.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.6230.7832.94
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.7638.2042.40
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for TRI Pointe Homes, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

TRI Pointe Cash

1.17 Billion

TRI Revenue by Product

TRI Pointe Total Value Analysis

TRI Pointe Homes is at this time projected to have company total value of 3.37 B with market capitalization of 2.94 B, debt of 1.1 B, and cash on hands of 970.04 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the TRI Pointe fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.37 B
2.94 B
1.1 B
970.04 M

TRI Pointe Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TRI Pointe Homes has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from TRI Pointe's historical financial statements, TRI Pointe Homes is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

TRI Pointe Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. TRI Pointe has an asset utilization ratio of 90.91 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.91 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that TRI Pointe Homes is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

TRI Pointe Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from TRI Pointe's financial statements, TRI Pointe Homes may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess TRI Pointe's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
60.7 M
Current Value
56.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
49.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 647.3 M. The current Pretax Profit Margin is estimated to decrease to 0.07
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.170.21
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For TRI Pointe profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of TRI Pointe Homes to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well TRI Pointe utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between TRI Pointe's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of TRI Pointe over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

TRI Pointe Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of TRI Pointe is estimated to be 0.570825 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.485 to a high of 0.66. TRI Pointe's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.39. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for TRI Pointe Homes is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
TRI Pointe is projected to generate 0.570825 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. TRI Pointe earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected TRI Pointe EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on TRI Pointe's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as TRI Pointe, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

TRI Pointe Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of TRI Pointe's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of TRI Pointe is estimated to be 0.570825 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.485 to a high of 0.66. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for TRI Pointe Homes is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.48
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.570825
0.66
Highest

TRI Pointe Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of TRI Pointe's value are higher than the current market price of the TRI Pointe stock. In this case, investors may conclude that TRI Pointe is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and TRI Pointe's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
679.76%
0.0
0.570825
3.39

TRI Pointe Ownership Allocation

The majority of TRI Pointe Homes outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in TRI Pointe to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in TRI Pointe Homes. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of TRI Pointe Homes as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

TRI Pointe Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.49 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 457.97 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 861.31 M.

About TRI Pointe Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to TRI Stock, attempts to find the value of TRI Pointe Homes based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing TRI Pointe's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of TRI Pointe's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of TRI Pointe. We calculate exposure to TRI Pointe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of TRI Pointe's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B647.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.21  0.17 

TRI Pointe Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.458
Forward Price Earnings14.0845

TRI Pointe Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of TRI Pointe Homes and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value TRI we look at many different elements of the entity such as TRI's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as TRI Pointe, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use TRI Pointe's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes TRI Pointe's worth.

Complementary Tools for TRI Stock analysis

When running TRI Pointe's price analysis, check to measure TRI Pointe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TRI Pointe is operating at the current time. Most of TRI Pointe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TRI Pointe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TRI Pointe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TRI Pointe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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